Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.593990 0.659005 0.729302 0.811142 0.904028 1.006438 1.128252
2025-08-17 0.477988 0.564608 0.665465 0.792330 0.948702 1.136493 1.381131
2025-08-24 0.424076 0.522424 0.642826 0.802596 1.011319 1.277903 1.649295
2025-08-31 0.379460 0.483015 0.614879 0.797471 1.047494 1.383401 1.878420
2025-09-07 0.348113 0.455666 0.597330 0.800886 1.091393 1.499723 2.132943
2025-09-14 0.317394 0.425360 0.571697 0.788741 1.109804 1.579306 2.341163
2025-09-21 0.292975 0.401017 0.551286 0.780680 1.131367 1.663389 2.564321
2025-09-28 0.265592 0.369988 0.518351 0.750405 1.115225 1.686428 2.690226
2025-10-05 0.254593 0.361491 0.517017 0.766843 1.171942 1.828942 3.032861
2025-10-12 0.243759 0.352223 0.513483 0.779012 1.222245 1.965463 3.383107
2025-10-19 0.232344 0.341120 0.506070 0.783928 1.260375 2.084583 3.717506
2025-10-26 0.221681 0.330338 0.498185 0.787055 1.295185 2.200843 4.062294
2025-11-02 0.212580 0.321576 0.493137 0.794944 1.339957 2.341930 4.482329
2025-11-09 0.199012 0.304817 0.473970 0.777033 1.336522 2.392462 4.723856
2025-11-16 0.192020 0.298227 0.471015 0.787048 1.385288 2.548816 5.217789
2025-11-23 0.182887 0.287487 0.460267 0.782041 1.404736 2.648560 5.601174
2025-11-30 0.175950 0.279965 0.454437 0.785377 1.440428 2.785344 6.093886
2025-12-07 0.167047 0.268561 0.441082 0.773509 1.444431 2.855213 6.436104
2025-12-14 0.159449 0.258968 0.430302 0.765631 1.455672 2.941858 6.835680
2025-12-21 0.149109 0.244050 0.409116 0.736041 1.418863 2.916918 6.939745
2025-12-28 0.146167 0.242012 0.411121 0.752108 1.480512 3.124197 7.708573
2026-01-04 0.142786 0.238984 0.411078 0.764001 1.534194 3.319647 8.485424
2026-01-11 0.138642 0.234341 0.407713 0.768806 1.572502 3.482791 9.203077